Monday, September 22, 2008

How to approach a volatile market?

I have repeated again and again that our toolset is self-adaptable and universal. However all physicists will tell you any filter has a suitable frequency spectrum and you have all seen your usual oscillator going haywire on a spike (high freq.) or on a standstill (zero freq.).

What happened last week is unique, and warrants looking at a few settings, which will revert back to normal in a few days or weeks.

MM ShowMe: We generally use a Frame64 value of 2 i.e. a 128bars lookback period. I recommend temporarily a value of 1 (64 bars).

Swing2: We generally use a value of 0 (for regular swing traders) and 1 for scalpers or fast swing traders. We now increase it to 1 for regular or 2 for scalpers. Note 2 is the max. value for this indicator.

MTFS (aka AdLag64StoK_MTF) increase acceleration and realtimeness factor. Your discretion is needed here. A value of 0.25 for acceleration should do fine in many cases. Realtimeness can be upped to 2 or 3, but one should not overdo it as this can induce a Dorie effect (cf. Nemo) i.e. neglect the historical part of the pattern a bit.

The rest remains unchanged.
Note however that these proposed changes are 100% optional. I personally haven't changed anything to my own charts. Let's not forget that one can also move to a faster time frame set, or stay on the sideline for a while. Nothing with taking a break...

Good trading to all,
bv